More yearlings than usual will be for sale at the Lexington, Kentucky sale this year scheduled for October with 720 being an increase of 160 over the 2017 sale. Lexington will also add a mixed sale after the yearling sale as the demand for racehorses and quality broodmares has greatly increased with consequent higher prices resulting from the sharp decrease in the overall horse population over the past few years.
Harrisburg sale shows a drop from last year in terms of yearlings in Book 1 although there may be some added to their mixed sale as was the case last year when they reduced their yearling sessions to three from four.
Lexington will give buyers their first look at sires like Sebastian K and Artspeak, the two most prominent first crop offerings. Father Patrick and Captaintreacherous will be back with the biggest consignments although neither has exactly overwhelmed the opposition in their first crop to the races this year.
Sebastian K is a world record holder by Korean, a French bred sire, and with a maternal line that may be hard to connect with. His dam is by Probe, a son of Super Bowl, second dam by The Prophet, a grandson of the Axworthy sire Florican. There is a Speedy Crown line as the dam of Probe but nowhere else in the pedigree. Based on similar sires I would expect him to do well with mares that are linebred or inbred to Speedy Crown and that also have Super Bowl maternally and there are, surprisingly, not that many in this group of 19 yearlings. Just four fit my expected profile and the pedigrees are modest with ratings in the 70's.
Artspeak has a maternal line of Artsplace - Matts Scooter, the same as Well Said. I'm not sure if that is a good or bad thing depending on your point of view, but Well Said and Artspeak have both been relocated from Hanover Farms to Ohio and Ontario respectively. There are just 9 Artspeak yearlings in Lexington in contrast to the 41 in Harrisburg but there is one that is a double-double pedigree - see if you can find him.
Speaking of double-double pedigrees the latest one to surface is Swandre The Giant, undefeated in 7 starts in his rookie season. By Swan For All and from a dam line bred to Speedy Somolli, as is the dam of Swan For All, and complimented by lines through Arnie Almahurst and Super Bowl, the maternal lines of Andover Hall, sire of Swan For All, the pedigree is virtually the same as for World Champion Hannelore Hanover. History does repeat itself especially with pedigrees. That is why it is important to recognize and use Sire profiles in selecting breedings or yearlings.
Swandre The Giant sold with a rating of 71 - 1.54.1 for $17,000 at last year's Hoosier Classic and was bought by Anthony MacDonald of PEI for his fractional ownership enterprise The Stable. He was subsequently sold shortly after the sale to the current owners who just might have recognized the chance for greatness that the pedigree of Swandre The Giant showed. He now moves to the barn of Jimmy Takter after selling for an undisclosed price of seven figures. The next great sire ?
As our slogan goes Percentages - Patterns - Profiles, Know them, Recognize them, breed or own a Champion.
Showing posts with label yearling sale. Show all posts
Showing posts with label yearling sale. Show all posts
Saturday, September 1, 2018
Monday, July 25, 2016
2016 New York Yearling Sales
The rosters for the Goshen and Morrisville sales are now available on PM Online. Both sales show increased numbers from last year. Morrisville has 90 listed and Goshen has 162 entries. While Morrisville is primarily trotters with 68 and only 22 pacers, the opposite is true for Goshen with 91 pacers and 71 trotters. Use the Sale report function on the Horse tab.
A look at last year's sales shows that Morrisville has outperformed Goshen to date with the top earner and 13 starters from the 65 sold (20%) while Goshen graduates with earnings to date total 18 from 123 sold (15%).
The 18 Goshen starters included 13 of the 18 on the PM recommended list including the top two and 5 of the the top 6 to date. In Morrisville the 16 PM picks included the top rated colt and highest money winner in NY to date along with 10 of the 13 starters picked including 5 of the top 7.
The PM top pick overall from these sales last year was Planet Rock rated 100 - 1.50.1, a son of Rock N Roll Heaven who has won his first two NYSS races and sold in Morrisville. The top pick from Goshen was Whiskey Please at 116 - 1.49.4 who has $8900 made with two second place NYSS finishes to date.
While the numbers have increased in the NY sales for this year the quality has not. I came up with 21 worth rating in Morrisville and only 22 in the larger Goshen sale. Many of the horses in Goshen are consigned by Hanover, Blue Chip and Winbak so you can expect that they were rejects from Harrisburg where the sale has been reduced in size considerably. In some cases they are foals from older mares but the good ones on pedigree will probably include foals with physical problems that would have hurt their sale price at the larger venue.
The Morrisville sale is dominated by trotters with several good opportunities by Cash Hall, Conway Hall and RC Royalty in particular. The few pacers on offer, nevertheless ,contain some very good pedigrees by Art Major, Roll With Joe and new sire So Surreal. The Goshen pacers include some better pedigrees and you would have to wonder why they are selling in Goshen rather than in Harrisburg especially those from the big farms. Close inspection would be advised.
We offer sale lists of recommended yearlings based on pedigree for both sales and since the lists are relatively short we will combine them this year for the price of a single sale - $250. To order the list of recommended yearlings you can request it using the Paypal on the PM website.
A look at last year's sales shows that Morrisville has outperformed Goshen to date with the top earner and 13 starters from the 65 sold (20%) while Goshen graduates with earnings to date total 18 from 123 sold (15%).
The 18 Goshen starters included 13 of the 18 on the PM recommended list including the top two and 5 of the the top 6 to date. In Morrisville the 16 PM picks included the top rated colt and highest money winner in NY to date along with 10 of the 13 starters picked including 5 of the top 7.
The PM top pick overall from these sales last year was Planet Rock rated 100 - 1.50.1, a son of Rock N Roll Heaven who has won his first two NYSS races and sold in Morrisville. The top pick from Goshen was Whiskey Please at 116 - 1.49.4 who has $8900 made with two second place NYSS finishes to date.
While the numbers have increased in the NY sales for this year the quality has not. I came up with 21 worth rating in Morrisville and only 22 in the larger Goshen sale. Many of the horses in Goshen are consigned by Hanover, Blue Chip and Winbak so you can expect that they were rejects from Harrisburg where the sale has been reduced in size considerably. In some cases they are foals from older mares but the good ones on pedigree will probably include foals with physical problems that would have hurt their sale price at the larger venue.
The Morrisville sale is dominated by trotters with several good opportunities by Cash Hall, Conway Hall and RC Royalty in particular. The few pacers on offer, nevertheless ,contain some very good pedigrees by Art Major, Roll With Joe and new sire So Surreal. The Goshen pacers include some better pedigrees and you would have to wonder why they are selling in Goshen rather than in Harrisburg especially those from the big farms. Close inspection would be advised.
We offer sale lists of recommended yearlings based on pedigree for both sales and since the lists are relatively short we will combine them this year for the price of a single sale - $250. To order the list of recommended yearlings you can request it using the Paypal on the PM website.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
Lexington Sale Profile
The Lexington sale is set for the first week in October with a reduced number of yearlings from previous years, about 100 less than two years ago, and this year the sale includes a number of Indiana breds as the Kentucky breeding industry, as well as the industry as a whole, experiences a continued drop in yearling registrations. This year the total has dropped to below 8,000 foals in the North American crop of 2013 and next year will see another big drop with the damaging effects of the Ontario government debacle hitting home.
This year will see a big increase in Ontario breds at Lexington with the first crops of Big Jim, Vintage Master and Manofmanymissions well represented in addition to the hot sire of the year Sportswriter. These yearlings would mostly have sold in Ontario in previous years but many breeders have opted to try their luck in US sales at both Lexington and Harrisburg.
Also among the first crop trotting sires is a small group of yearlings by Broad Bahn including a nice pedigreed filly called Trendy Broad that will be worth looking over. On the pacing side Roll With Joe will debut his first yearlings and he will have a hard time filling the boots of his full brother Bettors Delight based on the mares he had to work with. Bettors Delight stood in Ontario in 2012 and he has a large group of Ontario eligibles on the Lexington list and another even bigger group in Harrisburg. A lot of these were foaled in the United States as breeders still had confidence in his ability to produce top shelf racehorses despite being evicted from New York to make way for his upstart brother.
Lexington Trotter Profile
Lexington Pacer Profile
For those of you not familiar with the Sale Profile format the numbers you see in the chart are cross statistics. The first pair under the 1st Dam Sire column shows the number of times that cross has been tried in terms of foals of racing age, then the percentage success rate in producing $100K winners. For instance The Yank by Always A Virgin shows 12 0 meaning 12 crosses of Always A Virgin to mares by Jennas Beach Boy and 0 % top winners. The second pair under the 2nd Dam Sire No Nukes is the cross of Jennas Beach Boy to No Nukes and it shows 100 crosses with a success rate of 22%. Generally a 15% success rate is considered acceptable.
To the right of the sire line columns, which by the way are colour coded to identify which sire lines are in the pedigree of the mare, you will see several columns headed by a letter A,H,K,M or O. These relate to the presence of special mares in the back pedigree and a 1 under any column identifies the dam of the yearling as having that mare doubled up in the dam's pedigree. For a full explanation of the significance of maternal influences you can download my book Queen Among Queens from the PM Online library.
For those of you needing help in short listing the best yearlings to look at in Lexington and Harrisburg I can prepare lists based on any criteria such as sex, gait, jurisdiction, or sire along with my ratings. They won't necessarily guarantee you a world champion but they will prevent you from making a costly mistake in buying the wrong yearling. Great race horses like Somebeachsomewhere, Bettors Delight, Lis Mara, Donato Hanover, and many more have been included in previous sale lists for Harrisburg and Lexington. Email me for further information at norman@pedigreematching.com
This year will see a big increase in Ontario breds at Lexington with the first crops of Big Jim, Vintage Master and Manofmanymissions well represented in addition to the hot sire of the year Sportswriter. These yearlings would mostly have sold in Ontario in previous years but many breeders have opted to try their luck in US sales at both Lexington and Harrisburg.
Also among the first crop trotting sires is a small group of yearlings by Broad Bahn including a nice pedigreed filly called Trendy Broad that will be worth looking over. On the pacing side Roll With Joe will debut his first yearlings and he will have a hard time filling the boots of his full brother Bettors Delight based on the mares he had to work with. Bettors Delight stood in Ontario in 2012 and he has a large group of Ontario eligibles on the Lexington list and another even bigger group in Harrisburg. A lot of these were foaled in the United States as breeders still had confidence in his ability to produce top shelf racehorses despite being evicted from New York to make way for his upstart brother.
Lexington Trotter Profile
Lexington Pacer Profile
For those of you not familiar with the Sale Profile format the numbers you see in the chart are cross statistics. The first pair under the 1st Dam Sire column shows the number of times that cross has been tried in terms of foals of racing age, then the percentage success rate in producing $100K winners. For instance The Yank by Always A Virgin shows 12 0 meaning 12 crosses of Always A Virgin to mares by Jennas Beach Boy and 0 % top winners. The second pair under the 2nd Dam Sire No Nukes is the cross of Jennas Beach Boy to No Nukes and it shows 100 crosses with a success rate of 22%. Generally a 15% success rate is considered acceptable.
To the right of the sire line columns, which by the way are colour coded to identify which sire lines are in the pedigree of the mare, you will see several columns headed by a letter A,H,K,M or O. These relate to the presence of special mares in the back pedigree and a 1 under any column identifies the dam of the yearling as having that mare doubled up in the dam's pedigree. For a full explanation of the significance of maternal influences you can download my book Queen Among Queens from the PM Online library.
For those of you needing help in short listing the best yearlings to look at in Lexington and Harrisburg I can prepare lists based on any criteria such as sex, gait, jurisdiction, or sire along with my ratings. They won't necessarily guarantee you a world champion but they will prevent you from making a costly mistake in buying the wrong yearling. Great race horses like Somebeachsomewhere, Bettors Delight, Lis Mara, Donato Hanover, and many more have been included in previous sale lists for Harrisburg and Lexington. Email me for further information at norman@pedigreematching.com
Friday, June 27, 2014
PM Online Update
It has been a long process but we are finally getting there. Just a few wrinkles to iron out and we can make an official launch of PM Online shortly. Some of you have already tried out the site and perhaps experienced problems but hopefully all that is behind us now. This has been Phase One, replicating the Globetrotter program online to be accessed by any browser and device currently available. Sounds easy but in fact has been a complicated process that has taken almost a year longer than the anticipated six months we planned on.
The next phase of our development will be to add new functions such as the stallion profiles, performance ratings, sale reports etc., and anything else you might suggest to make the site as usefull to you as possible. This will be an ongoing process and your feedback is important to us to achieve our goal of developing an international pedigree database with all of the tools you need to help you make correct decisions on what to breed and what to buy.
Some of you are still using the old desk based Globetrotter program and have been asking about updates to the database. While it is my hope that you will eventually switch over to PM Online for its ease of use and greater range of options and more timely and accurate data, I am prepared to provide an annual database update for the time being. Instructions on accessing the current database can be found here.
Instructions on Updating Globetrotter Database
If you are interested in the future development of PM Online as an investment opportunity or as a vehicle for advertising and promotion of your own products and services I would be interested in hearing from you. Quite frankly I'm not sure how much longer I have, at my age, to devote to this "project" so I am interested in forming a limited partnership to ensure the future of PM Online is in good hands. You can call me for details at 901-628-5581 or email to norman@pedigreematching.com
The next phase of our development will be to add new functions such as the stallion profiles, performance ratings, sale reports etc., and anything else you might suggest to make the site as usefull to you as possible. This will be an ongoing process and your feedback is important to us to achieve our goal of developing an international pedigree database with all of the tools you need to help you make correct decisions on what to breed and what to buy.
Some of you are still using the old desk based Globetrotter program and have been asking about updates to the database. While it is my hope that you will eventually switch over to PM Online for its ease of use and greater range of options and more timely and accurate data, I am prepared to provide an annual database update for the time being. Instructions on accessing the current database can be found here.
Instructions on Updating Globetrotter Database
If you are interested in the future development of PM Online as an investment opportunity or as a vehicle for advertising and promotion of your own products and services I would be interested in hearing from you. Quite frankly I'm not sure how much longer I have, at my age, to devote to this "project" so I am interested in forming a limited partnership to ensure the future of PM Online is in good hands. You can call me for details at 901-628-5581 or email to norman@pedigreematching.com
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)