Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Hoosier Heritage Sale

The first of three yearling sales in Indiana comes up on September 1st. It is an offshoot of the much larger Hoosier Classic that takes place a month later and from a look at the pedigrees shoot would be the operative word for the vast majority of the 150 yearlings catalogued.

It always baffles me to see how breeders squander their resources on raising animals with virtually zero chance of success. Some of these are by nice sires like the ones by first crop sire Swan For All. His stud fee was $5000 and the mares in here that were bred to him would not collectively be worth that much. There are a couple of nice pedigrees from a matching standpoint, like Graceful Swan and Swan Of A Kind but there is virtually zero performance in the families. If they were great looking individuals you might take a chance on being the first one with something special, it does happen - rarely.

You can quickly tell the value of the maternal line by checking the sire cross statistics especially the numbers under the 2nd Dam Sire. Graceful Swans dam is actually one of the better ones since she has a cross that is 21% successful from 130 such matings of Pine Chip to Valley Victory dams. Swan Of A Kind's dam has a cross that has only been tried four times with nothing to date. The numbers under the first Dam Sire are the stats for the cross of the current foal. These are all zeros for Swan For All since he is a first crop sire. At a minimum I look for a cross percentage of 15% or more. Anything less needs much closer inspection.

The pacing sires in this sale include Sand Shooter whose first crop was well received last year but so far they have disappointed on the track. Most of the other sires have been around for a while or are unpopular for other reasons. There are two yearlings by Total Truth and the colt Total Proof may be worth close inspection just for his dad's sake at least.

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