Profiles and ratings are now available on the Pedigree Matching site for the New York (Goshen, Morrisville), Alberta and Ohio Jug sales. The recommendations for the Goshen and Morrisville sales are combined in the Ratings report. Sire profiles for all sires represented will be available shortly with some already posted.
You can access sale and sire profiles as well as Rating reports on the PM site.
Harrisburg list should be available shortly in addition to the Canadian Open sale in London, Ontario. Others to follow when available from Lexington, Indiana, and the Ohio Buckeye.
Pricing for Ratings reports remains the same as last year. Lexington and Harrisburg are $800 for the full sale or $250 for any segment e.g. pacing colts, New York breds etc. Other sales are $250. Sale profiles are $50 per sale.
Showing posts with label sales. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sales. Show all posts
Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Sunday, September 9, 2012
Morrisville Sale
The Morrisville sale is a typical regional sale that features yearlings that are not good enough for the major sales in Lexington or Harrisburg. There are 172 yearlings consigned and I could find only 17 that have a chance of paying for themselves over their lifetime.
The sires include Bettors Delight, American Ideal, Credit Winner and Conway Hall but dont expect that any of their progeny in this sale will win the Little Brown Jug or the Hambletonian.
The first crop sires include Big Apple Deli, a name I am sure you are not familiar with and based on the mares he bred you are unlikely to hear any more from. If I Can Dream on the pacing side should have something to offer being a full brother to Western Terror but it seems the breeders have ignored the profile of Western Terror.
Winbak Farms stands several sires in New York and Sand Vic, with 16 yearlings has, next to Cash Hall, the most yearlings in the sale. American Ideal has the most on the pacing side.
Kenneth J was a surprise to me in the reception he received for his first crop but it seems the buyers were right since he has produced nothing special to date. That does not mean he will continue to fire blanks since there are a couple of yearlings here that are worth looking at.
If I was interested in buying something I would look at an Art Major colt called Bismark Blue Chip, a Bettors Delight filly Tarport Belle, and a Cash Hall filly called Nestegg
Thursday, September 6, 2012
Indiana Premier Sale
This sale to be held the last week in September has much the same selection as the Hoosier Classic. Another nice group of, for the most part, well matched yearlings by Swan For All in this sale.
Friday, August 31, 2012
Understanding the Yearling Profiles
The profiles list the yearlings grouped alphabetically by sire. There are four sire profile columns which identify the sires of the first four dams in the pedigree. Each is colour coded to help identify the sire line - For pacers the red is Meadow Skipper, Blue is Adios line, Green is Volomite line and occasionally you will see light blue for the Big Towner line. For the trotters red is the Speedster line, Blue is Stars Pride, green is Volomite through Victory Song and brown is the rarely seen Axworthy line.
Below each sire name is a group of letters e.g. AHKMO which represents the maternal traces to key mares Adioo, Hatteras, Kathleen, Manette and Oniska. M2 is the inbred Margaret Parrish and A2 is Helen Hanover. These traces when combined in a pedigree often give a pattern which is common to the top performers known as the X-profile of the dam - this is shown in the last column. To the left of this combination is a tabulation by trace that shows which traces are doubled in the mares pedigree with each trace doubled signified by the number 1.
Also below the sire names in the first and second columns you will see two numbers e.g. 60 18. This is the cross statistic and in this case it shows the cross has produced 60 of racing age and 18% have earned over $100K. A good percentage is 15%. Any crosses lower than that should be carefully examined to make sure the yearling in question is similar, or not, to the few successful ones. The stats under the first column refer to the primary cross of sire and broodmare sire in the yearling while the second column shows the secondary cross of the mare herself. In the case of a new sire the primary cross numbers will show 0 0.
The yearling profiles should be used in conjunction with the Stallion profiles. As a Multiply member and a friend of this site you have access to these stallion profiles which show the top performers for each stallion in a format similar to the yearling profiles. Each stallion profile also indicates in summary the profile factors to look for in the yearling e.g. a stallion may favour non Meadow Skipper line mares, or mares that combine certain individuals, or Super Bowl line dams with a second dam through Speedy Crown etc. For those stallions that have yet to see their progeny race you can use a similar stallion as a model, as I have discussed in several recent entries regarding sires like Muscle Hill.
Once you have narrowed down the list to the ones that fit the sire profile and have good cross stats then you can put a number on the pedigree that is based on the speed and earnings in the first three dams. Rating the pedigrees like this gives you a priority list for inspection. You can then add any adjustments based on conformation to arrive at your short list of yearlings that fit your criteria based on cost, jurisdiction, gait, sex etc.
Doing your homework like this is not a guarantee that you will buy the next champion. It will, however, prevent you from making costly mistakes and greatly improve your chances of success, not to mention the reduced wear on your shoes.
If this all sounds like too much work then you can always call me for the yearling ratings for any sale. You can get them in total, by gait, by sex, or by racing jurisdiction. Once all of the sales are listed you can even get a North America Top 100 list for any gait/sex combination. For details and pricing email me at norman_g_hall@hotmail.com or send a private message through this site.
Check to see if the pedigree is right before you write the cheque.
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Lexington Selected Sale
Attached are the profiles for the Lexington yearlings selling October 2nd - 6th. The sale has 703 catalogued which is down about 10% from last year, a reflection of the continuing drop in yearling numbers in North America. The Harrisburg sale also shows a drop in numbers overall when you factor in the extra ones last year from the aborted New Jersey sale but I understand the increase in Canadian entries has offset that somewhat.
I will get to the Harrisburg sale in a couple of weeks after I look at Morrisville and the other Indiana sales. Between the big two, Harrisburg and Lexington, there will be about 2000 yearlings to look at, an impossible task if you want to inspect them all. There is a better way and that is to narrow the list for inspection down to those that fit the profile of the sire. This typically cuts the overall list to 25% and from there you can shorten it further by your preference for gait. sex or racing jurisdiction. The Black Book has a neat new feature that you can use to store your list and the ratings you give for pedigree and conformation. Both sales will also be available on the Horse sale app from Equineline.
I will post the profiles for the stallions in both sales over the next two weeks under the Links section. To access them you will need to join Multiply and send me a friend request if you have not already done so.
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Forest City Pacing Yearlings
Attached are the profiles for the pacing bred yearlings for the Forest City sale in October. The quality here tends to be higher than the Canadian Open since it is somewhat of a select sale but the sire selection is essentially the same with emphasis on the stallions standing at Seelster Farms, one of the owners of the sale.
The outcome of the Canadian sales does not look promising with the current Liberal government doing significant damage to the industry as a whole with their proposal to end the funding from slots revenues at the tracks. That does not, however, affect the quality of the yearlings and their potential as race horses in other jurisdictions. I think we all wish for a successful outcome.
Monday, August 27, 2012
Italian Yearling Sales
About 700 yearlings will be sold this fall at four different venues in Italy. The two largest sales at Milan (322 entries) and Naples (155) are run by ANACT, the National Breeders organization. The best yearlings, however, are usually found at one of other sales run by a private sale company. The better of the two sales run by ITS (see the website at www.its-aste.com) is the Busto Arsizio sale. Here you will find mostly American sired yearlings and also ones by some of the top sires in Europe. The second ITS sale at Gangliano on September 20th has more of an Italian bred flavour with sires that we seldom hear about in North America.
The Busto sale on September 12th features three yearlings consigned by Lou Guida. They all have America in their names. Lou has had considerable success as a breeder in Italy and just recently retired his great mare Lisa America, one of the top female trotters in Europe for the past three years. There is a sibling to Lisa America in the Busto sale that will likely be one of the sale toppers.
Attachment: Italian Yearling Profiles - Busto Arsizio Sale.pdf
Attachment: Italy Yearling Profiles - Gangliano.pdf
Attachment: Italy Yearling Profiles - Gangliano.pdf
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Hoosier Heritage Sale
The first of three yearling sales in Indiana comes up on September 1st. It is an offshoot of the much larger Hoosier Classic that takes place a month later and from a look at the pedigrees shoot would be the operative word for the vast majority of the 150 yearlings catalogued.
It always baffles me to see how breeders squander their resources on raising animals with virtually zero chance of success. Some of these are by nice sires like the ones by first crop sire Swan For All. His stud fee was $5000 and the mares in here that were bred to him would not collectively be worth that much. There are a couple of nice pedigrees from a matching standpoint, like Graceful Swan and Swan Of A Kind but there is virtually zero performance in the families. If they were great looking individuals you might take a chance on being the first one with something special, it does happen - rarely.
You can quickly tell the value of the maternal line by checking the sire cross statistics especially the numbers under the 2nd Dam Sire. Graceful Swans dam is actually one of the better ones since she has a cross that is 21% successful from 130 such matings of Pine Chip to Valley Victory dams. Swan Of A Kind's dam has a cross that has only been tried four times with nothing to date. The numbers under the first Dam Sire are the stats for the cross of the current foal. These are all zeros for Swan For All since he is a first crop sire. At a minimum I look for a cross percentage of 15% or more. Anything less needs much closer inspection.
The pacing sires in this sale include Sand Shooter whose first crop was well received last year but so far they have disappointed on the track. Most of the other sires have been around for a while or are unpopular for other reasons. There are two yearlings by Total Truth and the colt Total Proof may be worth close inspection just for his dad's sake at least.
Monday, August 20, 2012
Norway Yearling Sale
One of our Multiply friends asked for a profile of the Norway sale in September. It is a small sale, 107 trotters and another 60 or so coldbloods.
The warmblood trotting sires involved range far and wide. There are NA sires such as Muscle Hill, Federal Flex, Kadabra, Muscle Mass and Muscles Yankee. There are yearlings by former NA stallions like Enjoy Lavec, Lindy Lane, S Js Photo and Dream Vacation. You will also see new sires from North America like Adrian Chip, Clerk Magistrate as well as French stallions like Daguet Rapide and Offshore Dream. There are even two by the German stallion Diamond Way who is now 30 and still breeding.
For the most part, however, the mares are forgettable although there are some pleasant surprises.
One that jumped out at me is the filly Pocahana by Enjoy Lavec. She is from a Mack Lobell mare and that cross is 44% while the second dam by Speedy Crown is 45% with Mack Lobell. There is a sibling cross through Matina Hanover and the dam has already produced some special individuals.
Another that stands out is the Kadabra colt Trottin Genius from a mare that combines Balanced Image and Speedy Crown, similar to Windsong Espoir. The family here is also substantial.
Others I like are Here Chippie Chippie, Biche Va Bien, Benny Lane W, Hayos Arvella, Al Qasr, and Avenger.
Attachment: Yearling Profiles for Norway Sale.pdf
Attachment: Pocahana Pedigree.pdf
Attachment: Trottin Genius Pedigree.pdf
Attachment: katalog2012.pdf
Attachment: Pocahana Pedigree.pdf
Attachment: Trottin Genius Pedigree.pdf
Attachment: katalog2012.pdf
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